Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.004616 2.409164 2.845420 3.347647 3.906689 4.506834 5.196755
2025-01-26 1.404980 1.941296 2.571111 3.351197 4.277564 5.329409 6.600783
2025-02-02 1.017649 1.615582 2.377117 3.383505 4.644816 6.141933 8.021479
2025-02-09 0.698391 1.292160 2.115779 3.275700 4.804077 6.691087 9.138350
2025-02-16 0.478050 1.042762 1.897450 3.176375 4.939667 7.192567 10.195421
2025-02-23 0.344517 0.885255 1.773842 3.176675 5.186132 7.826197 11.422367
2025-03-02 0.235116 0.730686 1.621899 3.108511 5.319561 8.302869 12.449769
2025-03-09 0.186395 0.675420 1.617526 3.252637 5.748876 9.178236 14.009796
2025-03-16 0.131345 0.582615 1.529596 3.251749 5.960209 9.756589 15.184826
2025-03-23 0.108055 0.557363 1.558705 3.437582 6.450216 10.727393 16.900233
2025-03-30 0.083778 0.517217 1.551017 3.557525 6.841132 11.565502 18.449250
2025-04-06 0.060517 0.465604 1.509907 3.613193 7.130862 12.263159 19.815850
2025-04-13 0.037007 0.393329 1.412815 3.564718 7.261273 12.746267 20.914074
2025-04-20 0.025161 0.356653 1.387955 3.643837 7.596320 13.533251 22.449415
2025-04-27 0.016329 0.322482 1.361335 3.715264 7.918833 14.306752 23.977188
2025-05-04 0.007305 0.262781 1.253962 3.618165 7.955295 14.653537 24.905788
2025-05-11 0.002524 0.211826 1.153155 3.520376 7.980908 14.979146 25.804533
2025-05-18 0.000826 0.182231 1.105174 3.524824 8.178279 15.566016 27.084033
2025-05-25 0.000082 0.147297 1.026630 3.453647 8.237064 15.937789 28.054468
2025-06-01 0.000015 0.142092 1.050100 3.609327 8.702754 16.947648 29.967099
2025-06-08 NaN 0.120985 1.006874 3.608854 8.885765 17.517640 31.241195
2025-06-15 NaN 0.121260 1.048709 3.808382 9.437844 18.676104 33.394295
2025-06-22 NaN 0.114766 1.060472 3.937008 9.862426 19.638609 35.267619